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February 15th, 2009 / No Comments » / by admin
August 15th, 2008 / No Comments » / by admin
Day Pivot point R 5097 R 5023 R 4902 PV 4828 S 4707 S 4633
Resistances UT 5 R 4805 S 4780 R 4750 R 4730
Supports UT 5 S 4710 S 4690 4670/80 S 4650
next statistical Mich Sentiment-Prel 16h00-10:00 NY-14:00 GMT.
Analysis The U.S. statistics have been good which has not helped the euro to cross the barrier of 4750. The statistical at 16h00/14: 00 GMT/10;00 NY would normally be good and trigger downward on euro. Otherwise the euro/$ could come back to 4750. But with oil falling, there is little chance that the euro/$ change his downtrend.
August 14th, 2008 / No Comments » / by admin
Date: 2008/08/14
Time: 21:28 (GMT +2)
Ticker: EUR
Last: 1.4803
Pivot: 1.4755
1st sup. 1.4755
2nd sup. 1.4715
3rd sup. 1.47
1st res. 1.486
2nd res. 1.495
3rd res. 1.502
Our preference: Long positions above 1.4755 with targets @ 1.486 & 1.495 in extension.
Alternative scenario: Below 1.4755 look for further downside with 1.4715 & 1.47 as targets.
Comments: Even though a continuation of the consolidation cannot be ruled out, its extent should be limited.
August 13th, 2008 / No Comments » / by admin
Day Pivot point R 5138 R 5051 R 4989 PV 4902 S 4840 S 4753
Resistances UT 5 R 4990 R 4980 R 4950 R 4920/30
Supports UT 5 S S 4905 S 4880/75 S 4850/60 4830
Next statistics 14h30/8:30 Retails sales 16h00/10:00 Business Inventories 16h35/10h35 Crude inventories
Strategy The euro has gone this morning on 4980 and it returned to 4915. Pending the U.S. statistics, it should remain as yesterday in a range between 4860 and 4930 ( under 4850 down for 4820). Also buy the area 4860/75 for a return on 4930 before US statistics .
Always take sale positions for 4950/4980 for 4820. But be careful before U.S. statistics, which do not help the dollar.
August 12th, 2008 / No Comments » / by admin
Day Pivot point R 5246 R 5165 R 52024 PV 4943 S 4802 S4721
Resistances UT 5 5 R 4975/80 R 4950 R 4930
Supports UT 5 S 4905 S 4880/75 S 4830
Next statistics 18h00/14:00 Treasury budget
As agreed the euro climbed back on 4950 but he failed to return to 4980. Finally, the downward force has been back to 4885. The end of the day will end it as yesterday with a new low? I do not think so because of the statistical U.S. 18h00/12: 00. Nevertheless, it is better to play it down for the end of the day.
August 11th, 2008 / No Comments » / by admin
Day Pivot point R 55588 R 5450 R 5207 PV 5069 S 4826 S4445
Resistances UT 5 R 5105 R 5 R 5075/80 R 5050 R 5030/20
Supports UT 5 S 4990 S 4980 S 4950
Next statistics No statistics
The euro is moving in a range between 4975 and 5015. Whenever he tries to rebound he was arrested over the area 5020/30 (large area of resistance). Without helping oil, it seems that the euro will have difficulty passing this area. Also, continue to sell 5020/30 (stoploss 5045) for a return to 4990/70 and try long position in this area for 5005/15 with short stoploss.
August 10th, 2008 / No Comments » / by admin
As on the euro, we find the same configuration but this time upward. The chart above, schow you , the basis of the movement (A) and resistance point (B) (now support) that should send us on (C) at 1.1434. If this movement continues, it must pass the resistance who are at 1.0831 and 1.0100.
If, as many analysts “believe, think” there is a change cycle with a return of the strong $ (For the moment just bullish on daily, not monthly) then it is likely that we will see on of these objectives above.
Don’t forget that like other parities, the current international situation (Iran, Georgia) and the price of oil will confirm or deny this change.
Don’t forget also that the economic situation in the U.S. is not yet quite stable and a bank scandal linked to subprime can happen.
Finally, we will follow next month details of the U.S. monetary policy.
The strategy for this week is to enjoy any bearish return on 1.0954 to take bullish positions with the objectives at 1.0840 and 1.1000 “and maybe 1.1430″ which should be the ultimate objective of this wave of increase.
For sellers, the best is to sell the resistance as 1.0840 or 1.0145 for a return to 1.0594
August 10th, 2008 / No Comments » / by admin
The past week, the euro has descended in a straight line to 1.5000 without offering us a rebound. Should we expect a rebound this week?
As you can see on the chart. We started from the highest at 1.60 (A) to the resistance of 5323 (B) which was the basis of our double top.
If we retreat A-B we get 4646 (C), which should normally be the end of this cycle of decline.
Now the question is ? will we have a bounce on Monday on 1.50 ? or will we go on our support at 4911 (S 1) to bounce back? It is possible that we return to 5050/5080 ( 5185/5205) and from there, we restart downwar trend for 4911. On this level, we should find a good support for a few days or weeks for a range. The passage below 4911 will be the signal for 4646.
Also, it is preferable to continue to sell the resistance as indicators do not give us an other signal. For the adventurous, buy supports for target at 5050/5080 or 5180/5205, with shorts stoploss . Do not hesitate to reverse positions.
August 6th, 2008 / 1 Comment » / by admin
Viewpoint at 16h00
Day Pivot point R 5639 R 5593 R 5537 PV 5491 S 5435 S 5389
Resistances en UT 5 R 5475 R 5560 R 5450 R 5440
Supports en UT 5 S 5405 S 5390 S 5380
Next statistics stocks pétrole US 16h30
Down, down, down ! The 5440, have not kept. Stops on momentary 5410 to be re tested later. If it was dropping then 5380 would be online. The statistical oil will be decisive for the euro today, to 16.30.
Point du jour - Viewpoint at 12h30
Point pivot du jour - Day Pivot point R 5639 R 5593 R 5537 PV 5491 S 5435 S 5389
Résistances - Resistances en UT 5 R 5575 R 5540 R 5520 R 5505
Supports - Supports en UT 5 S 5475 S 5450 S 5435
Prochaines stats - Next statistics stocks pétrole US 16h30
Strategy The euro has tried to outflank 5520 this morning. But he was returned to the decline by strong barrier stoploss on the area 5520/30.
Apart from the statistics of oil this afternoon, no other event to report. Also, the euro should remain in its downward trend. As a result, sell the highest with stoploss to the area 5520/30.
Day Pivot point R 5639 R 5593 R 5537 PV 5491 S 5435 S 5389
Resistances en UT 5 R 5575 R 5540 R 5520 R 5505
Supports en UT 5 S 5475 S 5450 S 5435
Next statistics 11h30 GB 12h00 DE
Morning strategy Yesterday was a bad day for euro , mainly due to sales panic on oil and expectations of the Fed. That night, the euro is well backtracked its lowest and could continue its upward pending the meeting of the ECB tomorrow.
Nevertheless, the trend is still bearish and if oil continued its decline the rebound will be a flash in the pan.
For buyers take position on 5480/70/50 for a return to 5520. Once past 5520 target 5550/5575.
Attention of oil stocks statistics at 16:30
July 31st, 2008 / 1 Comment » / by admin
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